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Supplementary Figures

Predictive performance (confusion matrix) of the model trained on the BCW dataset to predict diagnosis. The model was trained on the whole dataset with nested cross-validation.

Figure 1:Predictive performance (confusion matrix) of the model trained on the BCW dataset to predict diagnosis. The model was trained on the whole dataset with nested cross-validation.

Learning curve (top) and power curve (bottom) of the model trained on the BCW dataset to predict diagnosis. The maximum sample size (i.e. the whole dataset) was considered as the “sample size budget”. X-axis: n_{act}; y-axis (learning curve): Accuracy as a measure of predictive performance; y-axis (power curve): statistical power of the remaining sample to confirm the model’s validity.

Figure 2:Learning curve (top) and power curve (bottom) of the model trained on the BCW dataset to predict diagnosis. The maximum sample size (i.e. the whole dataset) was considered as the “sample size budget”. X-axis: nactn_{act}; y-axis (learning curve): Accuracy as a measure of predictive performance; y-axis (power curve): statistical power of the remaining sample to confirm the model’s validity.

Predictive performance of the model trained on gray matter probability images from the IXI dataset to predict age. The model was trained on the whole dataset with nested cross-validation. X-axis: true age, y-axis: predicted age.

Figure 3:Predictive performance of the model trained on gray matter probability images from the IXI dataset to predict age. The model was trained on the whole dataset with nested cross-validation. X-axis: true age, y-axis: predicted age.

Learning curve (red) and power curve (blue) of the model trained on gray matter probability images from the IXI dataset to predict age. The maximum sample size (i.e. the whole dataset) was considered as the “sample size budget”. X-axis: n_{act}; y-axis (learning curve): Pearson’s correlation as a measure of predictive performance; y-axis (power curve): statistical power of the remaining sample to confirm the model’s validity.

Figure 4:Learning curve (red) and power curve (blue) of the model trained on gray matter probability images from the IXI dataset to predict age. The maximum sample size (i.e. the whole dataset) was considered as the “sample size budget”. X-axis: nactn_{act}; y-axis (learning curve): Pearson’s correlation as a measure of predictive performance; y-axis (power curve): statistical power of the remaining sample to confirm the model’s validity.

Predictive performance of the model trained on resting state functional connectivity data from the HCP dataset to predict fluid intelligence (PMAT24_A_CR). The model was trained on the whole dataset with nested cross-validation. X-axis: true age, y-axis: predicted age.

Figure 5:Predictive performance of the model trained on resting state functional connectivity data from the HCP dataset to predict fluid intelligence (PMAT24_A_CR). The model was trained on the whole dataset with nested cross-validation. X-axis: true age, y-axis: predicted age.

Learning curve (red) and power curve (blue) of the model trained on resting state functional connectivity data from the HCP dataset to predict fluid intelligence (PMAT24_A_CR). The maximum sample size (i.e. the whole dataset) was considered as the “sample size budget”. X-axis: n_{act}; y-axis (learning curve): Pearson’s correlation as a measure of predictive performance; y-axis (power curve): statistical power of the remaining sample to confirm the model’s validity.

Figure 6:Learning curve (red) and power curve (blue) of the model trained on resting state functional connectivity data from the HCP dataset to predict fluid intelligence (PMAT24_A_CR). The maximum sample size (i.e. the whole dataset) was considered as the “sample size budget”. X-axis: nactn_{act}; y-axis (learning curve): Pearson’s correlation as a measure of predictive performance; y-axis (power curve): statistical power of the remaining sample to confirm the model’s validity.

Supplementary Tables

Supplementary Table 1

Manuscripts, commentaries, and editorials on the topic of brain-behavior associations and their reproducibility, related to Marek et al. (2022). See the up-to-date list here: https://spisakt.github.io/BWAS_comment/

AuthorsTitleWhere
Nature editorialCognitive neuroscience at the crossroadsNature
Spisak et al.Multivariate BWAS can be replicable with moderate sample sizesNature
Nat. Neurosci. editorialRevisiting doubt in neuroimaging researchNat. Neurosci.
Monica D. Rosenberg and Emily S. FinnHow to establish robust brain–behavior relationships without thousands of individualsNat. Neurosci.
Bandettini P et al.The challenge of BWAS: Unknown Unknowns in Feature Space and VarianceMed
Gratton C. et al.Brain-behavior correlations: Two paths toward reliabilityNeuron
Cecchetti L. and Handjaras G.Reproducible brain-wide association studies do not necessarily require thousands of individualspsyArXiv
Winkler A. et al.We need better phenotypesbrainder.org
DeYoung C. et al.Reproducible between-person brain-behavior associations do not always require thousands of individualspsyArXiv
Gell M et al.The Burden of Reliability: How Measurement Noise Limits Brain-Behaviour PredictionsbioRxiv
Tiego J. et al.Precision behavioral phenotyping as a strategy for uncovering the biological correlates of psychopathologyOSF
Chakravarty MM.Precision behavioral phenotyping as a strategy for uncovering the biological correlates of psychopathologyNature Mental Health
White T.Behavioral phenotypes, stochastic processes, entropy, evolution, and individual variability: Toward a unified field theory for neurodevelopment and psychopathologyOHBM Aperture Neuro
Bandettini P.Lost in transformation: fMRI power is diminished by unknown variability in methods and peopleOHBM Aperture Neuro
Thirion B.On the statistics of brain/behavior associationsOHBM Aperture Neuro
Tiego J., Fornito A.Putting behaviour back into brain–behaviour correlation analysesOHBM Aperture Neuro
Lucina QU.Brain-behavior associations depend heavily on user-defined criteriaOHBM Aperture Neuro
Valk SL., Hettner MD.Commentary on ‘Reproducible brain-wide association studies require thousands of individuals’OHBM Aperture Neuro
Kong XZ., et al.Scanning reproducible brain-wide associations: sample size is all you need?Psychoradiology
J. Goltermann, et al.Cross-validation for the estimation of effect size generalizability in mass-univariate brain-wide association studiesBioRxiv
Kang K., et al.Study design features that improve effect sizes in cross-sectional and longitudinal brain-wide association studiesBioRxiv
Makowski C., et al.Reports of the death of brain-behavior associations have been greatly exaggeratedBioRxiv
J. Wu et al.The challenges and prospects of brain-based prediction of behaviourNat. Human Behaviour
References
  1. Marek, S., Tervo-Clemmens, B., Calabro, F. J., Montez, D. F., Kay, B. P., Hatoum, A. S., Donohue, M. R., Foran, W., Miller, R. L., Hendrickson, T. J., Malone, S. M., Kandala, S., Feczko, E., Miranda-Dominguez, O., Graham, A. M., Earl, E. A., Perrone, A. J., Cordova, M., Doyle, O., … Dosenbach, N. U. F. (2022). Reproducible brain-wide association studies require thousands of individuals. Nature, 603(7902), 654–660. 10.1038/s41586-022-04492-9
  2. Spisak, T., Bingel, U., & Wager, T. D. (2023). Multivariate BWAS can be replicable with moderate sample sizes. Nature, 615(7951), E4–E7. 10.1038/s41586-023-05745-x
  3. (2022). Nature Neuroscience, 25(7), 833–834. 10.1038/s41593-022-01125-2
  4. Rosenberg, M. D., & Finn, E. S. (2022). How to establish robust brain–behavior relationships without thousands of individuals. Nature Neuroscience, 25(7), 835–837. 10.1038/s41593-022-01110-9
  5. Gratton, C., Nelson, S. M., & Gordon, E. M. (2022). Brain-behavior correlations: Two paths toward reliability. Neuron, 110(9), 1446–1449. 10.1016/j.neuron.2022.04.018
AdaptiveSplit
AdaptiveSplit
AdaptiveSplit
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